Lightning vs. Avalanche Prediction & Picks - November 25

Tampa Bay Lightning v Pittsburgh Penguins

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The Tampa Bay Lightning (10-7-2) host the Colorado Avalanche (12-9), who have won three in a row, on Monday, November 25 at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+.

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Get ready for this matchup by checking out our prediction for who will come out on top in Monday's hockey action.

The Avalanche have put up a 7-3-0 record during their last 10 contests. They have scored 35 total goals (seven power-play goals on 29 power-play opportunities during that span, for a conversion rate of 24.1%) while giving up 26 goals to their opponents.

Lightning vs. Avalanche Predictions for Monday

Our computer projection model for this game expects a final result of Lightning 4, Avalanche 2.

  • Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-116)
  • Total Pick: Over 6.5 (computer predicts 6.9 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Lightning (-1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

  • The Lightning have a 10-7-2 record overall, with a 2-2-4 record in matchups that have gone to overtime.
  • Tampa Bay is 3-2-1 (seven points) in its six games decided by one goal.
  • In the one game this season the Lightning scored only one goal, they lost in overtime.
  • Tampa Bay has lost all four games this season when it scored exactly two goals.
  • The Lightning are 10-3-1 in the 14 games when they have scored at least three goals (to record 21 points).
  • In the four games when Tampa Bay has recorded a single power-play goal, it has a 2-2-0 record (four points).
  • In the 10 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 5-5-0 (10 points).
  • The Lightning's opponents have had more shots in seven games. The Lightning finished 4-1-2 in those matchups (10 points).

Avalanche Splits and Trends

  • The Avalanche have a 12-9 record this season and are 2-0-2 in contests that have needed overtime.
  • In the seven games Colorado has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 12 points.
  • Colorado has two points (1-5-0) in six games this season when it has scored exactly two goals.
  • The Avalanche have earned 22 points in their 14 games with more than two goals scored.
  • Colorado has scored a lone power-play goal in 10 games this season and has recorded 12 points from those matchups.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Colorado is 7-5-0 (14 points).
  • The Avalanche's opponents have had more shots in six games. The Avalanche went 4-2-0 in those matchups (eight points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning Rank Lightning AVG Avalanche AVG Avalanche Rank
5th 3.58 Goals Scored 3.48 6th
15th 3.05 Goals Allowed 3.57 29th
20th 27.7 Shots 29.7 16th
12th 28.4 Shots Allowed 25.7 3rd
14th 20.34% Power Play % 30.3% 3rd
23rd 76.27% Penalty Kill % 74.55% 27th

Lightning vs. Avalanche Game Time and TV Channel

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