Avalanche vs. Stars Prediction & Picks - NHL Playoffs First Round Game 4

Dallas Stars v Chicago Blackhawks

Photo: Michael Reaves / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The Colorado Avalanche host the Dallas Stars for Game 4 of the NHL Playoffs First Round at Ball Arena on Saturday, April 26, starting at 9:30 p.m. ET on TBS. The Stars are ahead in the series 2-1. The Avalanche are the favorite (-189) in this matchup against the Stars (+157).

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Ahead of watching this matchup, here's a glimpse at which team we predict will come out on top in Saturday's NHL Playoffs First Round action.

Avalanche vs. Stars Predictions for Saturday

Our computer model for this game predicts a final result of Avalanche 4, Stars 2.

  • Moneyline Pick: Avalanche (-189)
  • Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
  • Spread Pick: Stars (+1.5)

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Avalanche Splits and Trends

  • The Avalanche have a 49-29-4 record overall, with a 9-6-15 record in matchups that have gone to overtime.
  • In the 23 games Colorado has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 13-7-3 record (good for 29 points).
  • In the 15 games this season the Avalanche recorded only one goal, they went 1-11-3 (five points).
  • Colorado has scored a pair of goals in 14 games this season (5-7-2 record, 12 points).
  • The Avalanche are 44-8-1 in the 53 games when they have scored three or more goals (to register 89 points).
  • In the 33 games when Colorado has recorded a single power-play goal, it went 23-8-2 to register 48 points.
  • In games when it has outshot opponents, Colorado is 34-18-3 (71 points).
  • The Avalanche's opponents have had more shots in 23 games. The Avalanche went 13-9-1 in those contests (27 points).

Stars Splits and Trends

  • The Stars have a 50-26-6 record this season and are 11-6-17 in games that have gone to overtime.
  • In the 28 games Dallas has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 38 points.
  • This season the Stars registered just one goal in 10 games and they've earned two points (1-9-0) in those contests.
  • Dallas has earned 17 points (7-8-3 record) this season when scoring a pair of goals .
  • The Stars have scored three or more goals 56 times, earning 91 points from those matchups (44-9-3).
  • This season, Dallas has recorded a lone power-play goal in 30 games and registered 45 points with a record of 22-7-1.
  • When it outshoots its opponent this season, Dallas has posted a record of 22-13-1 (45 points).
  • The Stars have been outshot by opponents 45 times this season, and earned 61 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Avalanche Rank Avalanche AVG Stars AVG Stars Rank
6th 3.33 Goals Scored 3.35 3rd
11th 2.82 Goals Allowed 2.71 6th
5th 29.8 Shots 28.4 13th
3rd 25.9 Shots Allowed 29 23rd
7th 25.22% Power Play % 22% 17th
12th 79.51% Penalty Kill % 82.02% 4th

Avalanche vs. Stars Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Saturday, April 26, 2025 at 9:30 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: TBS
  • Live Stream: Watch this match on Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado

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