Two of the top teams in the NHL, the Colorado Avalanche (first in the Western Conference at 31-3-7) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (second in the Eastern Conference at 25-13-3), square off on Tuesday, Jan. 6 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
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Prepare for this matchup with a look at who we project to emerge with the victory in Tuesday's contest.
Over the past 10 contests, the Lightning have gone 7-2-1 while scoring 39 goals against 29 goals allowed. On 38 power-play opportunities during that span, they have scored nine goals (23.7%).
Avalanche vs. Lightning Predictions for Tuesday
Our computer model for this contest calls for a final tally of Avalanche 4, Lightning 3.
- Moneyline Pick: Avalanche (-116)
- Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 6.1 goals on average)
- Spread Pick: Lightning (+1.5)
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Avalanche Splits and Trends
- The Avalanche are 3-7-10 in overtime games as part of a 31-3-7 overall record.
- Colorado is 8-2-3 (19 points) in its 13 games decided by one goal.
- Looking at the three times this season the Avalanche ended a game with only one goal, they have a 2-1-0 record, good for four points.
- Colorado has scored exactly two goals in four games this season (1-1-2 record, four points).
- The Avalanche are 28-1-5 in the 34 games when they have scored three or more goals (to register 61 points).
- In the 13 games when Colorado has scored a lone power-play goal, it picked up 23 points after finishing 10-0-3.
- In the 31 games when it outshot its opponent, Colorado is 24-2-5 (53 points).
- The Avalanche have been outshot by opponents seven times, and went 6-1-0 (12 points).
Lightning Splits and Trends
- The Lightning have a record of 25-13-3 this season and are 5-3-8 in overtime contests.
- Tampa Bay has earned 16 points (7-7-2) in its 16 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
- This season the Lightning scored only one goal in three games and they finished 0-2-1 in those matchups.
- Tampa Bay has eight points (3-5-2) when scoring exactly two goals this season.
- The Lightning have earned 44 points in their 26 games with more than two goals scored.
- This season, Tampa Bay has capitalized on a lone power-play goal in 14 games and picked up 20 points with a record of 9-3-2.
- When outshooting its opponent this season, Tampa Bay is 9-9-2 (20 points).
- The Lightning have been outshot by opponents 20 times this season, and earned 31 points in those games.
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Team Stats Comparison
| Avalanche Rank | Avalanche AVG | Lightning AVG | Lightning Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4 | Goals Scored | 3.44 | 2nd |
| 1st | 2.17 | Goals Allowed | 2.66 | 4th |
| 1st | 34.4 | Shots | 27.3 | 20th |
| 8th | 26.6 | Shots Allowed | 26.5 | 7th |
| 26th | 16.31% | Power Play % | 18.8% | 19th |
| 1st | 85.59% | Penalty Kill % | 83.33% | 5th |
Avalanche vs. Lightning Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Tuesday, January 6, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida
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