Avalanche vs. Penguins Prediction & Picks - March 16

The Colorado Avalanche (44-12-9) and Pittsburgh Penguins (33-18-15) meet at Ball Arena on Monday, March 16 at 9:30 p.m. ET on ESPN. The Avalanche fell to the Winnipeg Jets 3-1 in their last game, while the Penguins are coming off a 4-3 victory over the Utah Mammoth.

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Get ready for this showdown with a look at who we project to come out on top in Monday's contest.

The Penguins have gone 4-3-3 over their past 10 contests, totaling 31 goals while giving up 28 in that period. On 41 power-play opportunities during that time, they have scored nine goals (22.0%).

Avalanche vs. Penguins Predictions for Monday

Our computer projections model for this encounter predicts a final result of Avalanche 5, Penguins 2.

• Moneyline Pick: Avalanche (-225)
• Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 6.3 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Avalanche (-1.5)

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Avalanche Splits and Trends

• The Avalanche have gone 5-9-14 in overtime games as part of an overall record of 44-12-9.
• In the 15 games Colorado has played that were decided by one goal, it has an 8-3-4 record (good for 20 points).
• Looking at the five times this season the Avalanche ended a game with just one goal, they have a 2-2-1 record, good for five points.
• Colorado has finished 2-4-2 in the eight games this season when it scored a pair of goals (registering six points).
• The Avalanche are 40-5-6 in the 51 games when they have scored three or more goals (to record 86 points).
• In the 20 games when Colorado has capitalized on a lone power-play goal, it registered 34 points after finishing 15-1-4.
• In the 49 games when it outshot its opponent, Colorado is 33-9-7 (73 points).
• The Avalanche have been outshot by opponents 13 times, and went 10-3-0 (20 points).

Penguins Splits and Trends

• The Penguins have a 33-18-15 record this season and are 5-15-20 in matchups that have required overtime.
• Pittsburgh has earned 23 points (9-7-5) in its 21 games decided by one goal.
• Across the seven games this season the Penguins finished with just one goal, they have earned three points.
• Pittsburgh has four points (0-6-4) when scoring exactly two goals this season.
• The Penguins have scored more than two goals in 45 games, earning 74 points from those contests.
• Pittsburgh has scored a lone power-play goal in 23 games this season and has recorded 28 points from those matchups.
• When it outshoots its opponent this season, Pittsburgh has posted a record of 15-13-9 (39 points).
• The Penguins have been outshot by opponents 24 times this season, and earned 32 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Avalanche vs. Penguins Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Monday, March 16, 2026 at 9:30 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: ESPN
• Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado

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