The Colorado Avalanche (11-6-2), coming off a 6-3 victory over the Toronto Maple Leafs, visit the Ottawa Senators (11-6-2) at Canadian Tire Centre on Thursday, Nov. 12 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Senators were defeated by the Washington Capitals 3-2 in overtime in their last game.

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Here is our pick for who will secure the victory in Thursday's matchup.

The Senators are 5-3-2 in the last 10 games, scoring 36 total goals (four power-play goals on 33 power-play opportunities during that span, for a conversion rate of 12.1%). They have given up 30 goals to their opponents.

Avalanche vs. Senators Predictions for Thursday

Our computer projection model for this game calls for a final tally of Senators 4, Avalanche 3.

Moneyline Pick: Senators (+105)
Total Pick: Over 6.5 (computer predicts 6.7 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Senators (+1.5)

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Avalanche Splits and Trends

The Avalanche are 11-6-2 overall and -2-2 in overtime contests.
Colorado has three points (1-3-1) in the five games it has played that were decided by one goal.
Colorado finished 0-4-2 in the six games this season when it scored exactly two goals (registering two points).
The Avalanche have scored more than two goals 13 times, and are 11-2-0 in those games (to register 22 points).
In the seven games when Colorado has recorded a lone power-play goal, it has a 6-1-0 record (12 points).
In the 12 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Colorado is 6-4-2 (14 points).
The Avalanche have been outshot by opponents in six games, going 4-2-0 to register eight points.

Senators Splits and Trends

The Senators have a record of 11-6-2 this season and are 2-2-4 in overtime contests.
In the five games Ottawa has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up eight points.
This season the Senators scored only one goal in three games and they've earned two points (1-2-0) in those contests.
When Ottawa has scored two goals this season, they've earned seven points (3-2-1 record).
The Senators have scored three or more goals 10 times, earning 15 points from those matchups (7-2-1).
Ottawa has scored a single power-play goal in nine games this season and has registered 11 points from those matchups.
When outshooting its opponent this season, Ottawa is 5-1-1 (11 points).
The Senators have been outshot by opponents 11 times this season, and earned 11 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

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